Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Jake Fellows		Rodrigo Leal

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Jake Fellows
56.3%

Rodrigo Leal
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jake Fellows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jake Fellows's form might have worsened.

Rodrigo Leal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodrigo Leal's recent form is better than expected.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Fellows is ranked ATP: 1437., and Leal is ranked ATP: 1676..

In recent outings, Fellows has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Fellows
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Jake Fellows - Chirag Duhan	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Jake Fellows - Aditya Vishal Balsekar	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Giulio Perego - Jake Fellows	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Jake Fellows - Karim Ibrahim	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Aaron Funk - Jake Fellows	Fellows J. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWW?
- Rodrigo Leal
ITF Tournaments
08.09.26	Rodrigo Leal - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Rodrigo Leal - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Rodrigo Leal - Pavlo Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Salvador Monteiro - Rodrigo Leal	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Rodrigo Leal - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

Jake Fellows - Rodrigo Leal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide