Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Jan Hrazdil		Luca Castagnola

	1	2
			Watch
	3.45	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	3.9	1.24
	3.37	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Hrazdil
25.9%

Luca Castagnola
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Hrazdil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Hrazdil than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Jan Hrazdil - Luca Castagnola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hrazdil is ranked ATP: 1287., and Castagnola is ranked ATP: 785..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Castagnola for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Hrazdil
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Jan Hrazdil - Preston Brown	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Michael Agwi - Jan Hrazdil	Hrazdil J. Retired ✺
19.08.26	Jan Hrazdil - Wiktor Jez	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Linus Lagerbohm - Jan Hrazdil	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Matteo Fondriest - Jan Hrazdil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 L?WLW
- Luca Castagnola
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Matic Hribar - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Sebastian Sorger - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Luca Castagnola - Stefan Popovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW

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