Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Vero Beach, FL, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin		Ryan Colby

	1	2
	2.17	1.66
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.44)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
41%

Ryan Colby
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ryan Colby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Colby than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryan Colby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Goncalves Ceolin is ranked ATP: 1054. Colby is ranked ATP: 770.

In recent matches, Goncalves Ceolin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Colby is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Colby will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Goncalves Ceolin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Youssef Kadiri Hassani	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Matthew Segura - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Bastian Malla - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Pedro Rodenas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWLW
- Ryan Colby
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Tygen Goldammer - Ryan Colby	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Ryan Colby - Keaton Hance	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Ryan Colby - Christian Langmo	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Ryan Colby - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Garrett Johns - Ryan Colby	Colby R. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.02.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Ryan Colby	0:2

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Ryan Colby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide