Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 7, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Julia Stusek		Camilla Gennaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.38	2.80
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.46	2.65
	1.43	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.31)	2.63 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Stusek
64.8%

Camilla Gennaro
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Stusek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Julia Stusek's form might have worsened.

Camilla Gennaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilla Gennaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julia Stusek than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilla Gennaro than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Julia Stusek - Camilla Gennaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stusek is ranked WTA: 366. Gennaro is ranked WTA: 617.

Recent performances by Stusek have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gennaro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gennaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stusek is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Stusek
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Martina Trevisan - Julia Stusek	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Emma Lene - Julia Stusek	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Urszula Radwanska - Julia Stusek	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Ana Grubor - Julia Stusek	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Stusek	Brancaccio N. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWW?
- Camilla Gennaro
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Camilla Gennaro - Paula Ormaechea	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Camilla Gennaro - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Viola Turini - Camilla Gennaro	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Beatrise Zeltina - Camilla Gennaro	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Camilla Gennaro - Carlota Martinez Cirez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

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