Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Adelaide - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Katie Swan		Elena Gabriela Ruse

	1	2
			Watch
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	3.39	1.32	Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.44	1.17	Watch
	4.5	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.09)	1.21 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katie Swan
22.3%

Elena Gabriela Ruse
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Swan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katie Swan's form might have worsened.

Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Gabriela Ruse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katie Swan than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katie Swan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Katie Swan - Elena Gabriela Ruse Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Swan is ranked WTA: 270. Ruse is ranked WTA: 85.

Swan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ruse has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Swan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ruse is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Swan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katie Swan
ITF Tournaments
25.11.25	Katie Swan - Arina Bulatova	Swan K. retired ✺
18.11.25	Eunhye Lee - Katie Swan	Swan K. retired ✺
15.11.25	Sijia Wei - Katie Swan	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Katie Swan - Emerson Jones	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Katie Swan - Destanee Aiava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ??WWW
- Elena Gabriela Ruse
WTA Brisbane
03.01.26	Sofia Kenin - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Alana Subasic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.12.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Elena Gabriela Ruse	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.11.25	Lucie Havlickova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Monterrey
30.03.19	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Katie Swan	2:0

Katie Swan - Elena Gabriela Ruse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide