Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nanao, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Kisa Yoshioka		Hikaru Sato

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.57
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.24	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (3.38)	1.58 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kisa Yoshioka
41.7%

Hikaru Sato
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

78.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kisa Yoshioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisa Yoshioka's performance.

Hikaru Sato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hikaru Sato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisa Yoshioka than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kisa Yoshioka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Sato than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hikaru Sato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kisa Yoshioka - Hikaru Sato Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yoshioka is ranked WTA: 599., and Sato is ranked WTA: 466..

Yoshioka has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sato is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sato could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sato is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kisa Yoshioka
ITF Tournaments
15.09.26	Kisa Yoshioka - Jiangxue Han	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Kisa Yoshioka - Ha Eum Lee	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Kisa Yoshioka - Rira Kosaka	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Kisa Yoshioka - Nagi Hanatani	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Sunam Jeong - Kisa Yoshioka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Hikaru Sato
ITF Tournaments
15.09.26	Hikaru Sato - Natsuki Yoshimoto	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Hikaru Sato - Julia Avdeeva	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Hikaru Sato - Indianna Spink	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Hikaru Sato - Amelia Rajecki	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Ipek Oz - Hikaru Sato	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWL?

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