Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Linang Xiao		Filip Peliwo

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.01	1.82
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2	1.7
	1.93	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linang Xiao
46.9%

Filip Peliwo
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linang Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Filip Peliwo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linang Xiao than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linang Xiao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filip Peliwo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linang Xiao - Filip Peliwo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Xiao is ranked ATP: 785. Peliwo is ranked ATP: 486.

Recent performances by Xiao have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peliwo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Xiao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xiao won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Linang Xiao - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Filip Peliwo - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linang Xiao
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Linang Xiao - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Colin Sinclair - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Yaojie Zeng - Linang Xiao	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Linang Xiao - Maxim Zhukov	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Linang Xiao - Zurui Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW
- Filip Peliwo
ITF Tournaments
19.04.26	Filip Peliwo - Colin Sinclair	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Filip Peliwo	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Filip Peliwo - Yuta Kawahashi	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Filip Peliwo - Zhan Zheng	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Filip Peliwo - Wenze Li	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Filip Peliwo - Linang Xiao	Xiao L. retired

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