Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez		Thiago Cigarran

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.65
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.39	2.75
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.28)	2.78 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
66.8%

Thiago Cigarran
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez's form might have worsened.

Thiago Cigarran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Cigarran's recent form is better than expected.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Thiago Cigarran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 533., and Cigarran is ranked ATP: 622..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Cigarran may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Rodriguez for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rodriguez has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Franco Ribero - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW
- Thiago Cigarran
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Boris Arias - Thiago Cigarran	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
05.10.26	Nicolas Kicker - Thiago Cigarran	Kicker N. Retired ✺
04.10.26	Anders Matta - Thiago Cigarran	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Thiago Cigarran - Tomas Martinez	Cigarran T. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WL?W?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.07.26	Thiago Cigarran - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2
12.03.26	Thiago Cigarran - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Cigarran T. retired

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