Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Lucie Havlickova		Mia Ristic

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.88	Watch
	1.93	1.91
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.8	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.56)	1.89 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucie Havlickova
50.6%

Mia Ristic
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucie Havlickova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucie Havlickova's form might have worsened.

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mia Ristic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucie Havlickova than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucie Havlickova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mia Ristic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Lucie Havlickova - Mia Ristic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Havlickova will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ristic will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ristic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Havlickova is ranked WTA: 219. Ristic is ranked WTA: 265.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ristic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Havlickova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mia Ristic - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucie Havlickova
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Lucie Havlickova - Kika Lima	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Tereza Martincova - Lucie Havlickova	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Lucie Havlickova - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Francisca Jorge - Lucie Havlickova	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Lucie Havlickova - Daria Snigur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL
- Mia Ristic
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Mia Ristic - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lea Boskovic - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
09.04.26	Mia Ristic - Justina Mikulskyte	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Mayar Sherif - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL

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