Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Lucio Ratti		Khumoun Sultanov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.76	1.51
	2.55	1.45
	2.70	1.46	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.85)	1.46 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucio Ratti
36%

Khumoun Sultanov
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucio Ratti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucio Ratti's form might have worsened.

Khumoun Sultanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khumoun Sultanov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucio Ratti than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucio Ratti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khumoun Sultanov than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khumoun Sultanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lucio Ratti - Khumoun Sultanov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ratti is ranked ATP: 380. Sultanov is ranked ATP: 508.

Ratti is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sultanov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ratti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sultanov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucio Ratti - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.76%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Khumoun Sultanov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.24%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucio Ratti
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Lucio Ratti - Tai Sach	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Lucio Ratti - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.06.26	Lucio Ratti - Filip Jeff Planinsek	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Lucio Ratti - Denis Petak	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Lucio Ratti - Vincent Dullinger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Khumoun Sultanov
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Khumoun Sultanov	Sultanov K. Retired ✺
27.07.26	Aleksandr Braynin - Khumoun Sultanov	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Dominik Recek - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.26	Andrej Martin - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?WWL

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