Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 5, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Mara Guth		Nina Radovanovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.37	3.15
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.32	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.6)	3.08 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mara Guth
69.8%

Nina Radovanovic
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Guth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mara Guth's performance.

Nina Radovanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nina Radovanovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Guth than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mara Guth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nina Radovanovic than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nina Radovanovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mara Guth - Nina Radovanovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guth is ranked WTA: 507. Radovanovic is ranked WTA: 1063.

In recent matches, Guth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Radovanovic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Guth
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Mara Guth - Tara Wurth	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Yuliya Hatouka - Mara Guth	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Mara Guth - Selina Atay	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Mara Guth - Anna Kubareva	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Mara Guth - Milana Zhabrailova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Nina Radovanovic Tennis
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Nina Radovanovic	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nina Radovanovic - Anastasiia Firman	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Nina Radovanovic	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Nina Radovanovic - Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Delia Gaillard - Nina Radovanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

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