Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Messina, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday


	Marcel Zielinski		Giacomo Crisostomo

	1	2
	1.26	3.40
	1.25	3.55
	1.25	3.99
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.22	3.6
	1.24	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	3.63 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcel Zielinski
74.5%

Giacomo Crisostomo
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcel Zielinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Giacomo Crisostomo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcel Zielinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giacomo Crisostomo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giacomo Crisostomo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marcel Zielinski - Giacomo Crisostomo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zielinski is ranked ATP: 599. Crisostomo is ranked ATP: 1198.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zielinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zielinski is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
09.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Jacopo Antonelli	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Fons Van Sambeek	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Johan Oscar Lien	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Oskar Jansson	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Marcel Zielinski - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Giacomo Crisostomo
ITF Tournaments
09.06.26	Giacomo Crisostomo - Vito Antonio Darderi	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Mae Malige - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Alessandro Coccioli - Giacomo Crisostomo	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Dragos Nicolae Cazacu - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

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