Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Junin 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Maria Florencia Urrutia		Madison Sieg

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Florencia Urrutia
52.7%

Madison Sieg
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Florencia Urrutia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Madison Sieg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Florencia Urrutia than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Florencia Urrutia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Sieg than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madison Sieg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maria Florencia Urrutia - Madison Sieg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urrutia is ranked WTA: 486. Sieg is ranked WTA: 487.

Urrutia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sieg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Urrutia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Madison Sieg - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Florencia Urrutia
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Maria Florencia Urrutia	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Berta Bonardi	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Luisina Giovannini - Maria Florencia Urrutia	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Maria Florencia Urrutia	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Ana Candiotto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Madison Sieg
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Madison Sieg - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Camila Markus - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Madison Sieg - Luiza Fullana	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Stephanie Judith Visscher - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Madison Sieg - Alba Rey Garcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW

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