Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ankara, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Marie Vogt		Elena Ruxandra Bertea

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.00	1.75
	2.04	1.7	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2.11	1.71
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	2.04	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.36)	1.7 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Vogt
45.3%

Elena Ruxandra Bertea
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Vogt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marie Vogt's performance.

Elena Ruxandra Bertea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elena Ruxandra Bertea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marie Vogt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Ruxandra Bertea than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elena Ruxandra Bertea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Marie Vogt - Elena Ruxandra Bertea Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vogt will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bertea will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vogt is ranked WTA: 457., and Bertea is ranked WTA: 282..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bertea could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Marie Vogt - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Vogt
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Marie Vogt - Ekaterina Yashina	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Marie Vogt - Ashmitha Easwaramurthi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.26	Pia Lovric - Marie Vogt	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Valentina Steiner - Marie Vogt	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Marie Vogt - Polina Skliar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW
- Elena Ruxandra Bertea
ITF Tournaments
15.09.26	Antonia Stoyanov - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Lidia Encheva - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Varvara Panshina - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Havah Kaur Kaler - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Elena Ruxandra Bertea - Rada Zolotareva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL

Marie Vogt - Elena Ruxandra Bertea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide