Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 13, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Mario Arce Fernandez		Boris Butulija

	1	2
	1.34	2.90
	1.44	2.55
	1.36	3.09
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.37	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.61)	2.87 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mario Arce Fernandez
67.8%

Boris Butulija
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Arce Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mario Arce Fernandez's performance.

Boris Butulija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boris Butulija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Arce Fernandez than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mario Arce Fernandez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boris Butulija than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boris Butulija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mario Arce Fernandez - Boris Butulija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arce Fernandez is ranked ATP: 1681. Butulija is ranked ATP: 1319.

Both players are currently in poor form.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Arce Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Mario Arce Fernandez - Dmitry Bessonov	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Mario Arce Fernandez - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Filippo Mazzola - Mario Arce Fernandez	Mazzola F. Retired ✺
23.07.26	Mario Arce Fernandez - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Mario Arce Fernandez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LL?LW
- Boris Butulija
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Boris Butulija - Anton Arzhankin	Butulija B. Retired ✺
05.08.26	Walid Ahouda - Boris Butulija	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Boris Butulija - Niksa Arsic	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Pierre Delage - Boris Butulija	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Timofei Derepasko - Boris Butulija	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LLLL

Mario Arce Fernandez - Boris Butulija: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide