Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Madrid 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Marta Soriano Santiago		Margaux Maquet

	1	2
	2.30	1.53
	2.55	1.45
	2.43	1.57
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.29	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.55)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marta Soriano Santiago
39.2%

Margaux Maquet
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Soriano Santiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Margaux Maquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Soriano Santiago than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Soriano Santiago that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margaux Maquet than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Margaux Maquet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marta Soriano Santiago - Margaux Maquet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Soriano Santiago is ranked WTA: 912. Maquet is ranked WTA: 726.

Soriano Santiago is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maquet's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Soriano Santiago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maquet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Soriano Santiago won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Soriano Santiago
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Elyse Tse - Marta Soriano Santiago	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Marta Soriano Santiago - Nina Vargova	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Carolina Dibenedetto - Marta Soriano Santiago	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Emma Lene - Marta Soriano Santiago	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	Clarissa Blomqvist - Marta Soriano Santiago	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWW
- Margaux Maquet
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Andrea Palazon - Margaux Maquet	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Sara Dols - Margaux Maquet	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Arina Malygina - Margaux Maquet	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen - Margaux Maquet	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Margaux Maquet - Francesca Gandolfi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Margaux Maquet - Marta Soriano Santiago	Maquet M. retired

Upcoming Matches