Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cuiaba, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday


	Mateus Alves		Nicolas Villalon

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.24	4.16
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.22	3.6
	1.24	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)	3.75 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
75.2%

Nicolas Villalon
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Nicolas Villalon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Villalon than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Villalon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mateus Alves - Nicolas Villalon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 497. Villalon is ranked ATP: 672.

Alves is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Villalon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villalon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alves is the team to beat.

We predict that Alves will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ITF Tournaments
24.05.26	Mateus Alves - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Mateus Alves - Herman Hoeyeraal	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Mateus Alves - Ezequiel Monferrer	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Mateus Alves - Ryan Augusto Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Mateus Alves - Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW
- Nicolas Villalon
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Nicolas Villalon - Thiago Cigarran	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Nicolas Villalon - Fermin Tenti	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Nicolas Villalon - Victor Braga	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Nicolas Villalon - Angel Veliz	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Nicolas Villalon - Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLW

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