Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 22, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Matilde Mariani		Margaux Komano

	1	2
	1.48	2.40
	1.55	2.28
	1.52	2.56
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	2.37 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matilde Mariani
60.7%

Margaux Komano
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matilde Mariani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Margaux Komano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Mariani than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matilde Mariani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margaux Komano than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Margaux Komano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matilde Mariani - Margaux Komano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mariani is ranked WTA: 981. Komano is ranked WTA: 1157.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Komano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mariani will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Mariani
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Matilde Mariani - Katja Wiersholm	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Matilde Mariani - Sofia Avataneo	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Matilde Mariani - Lenka Munzarova	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Sofia Avataneo - Matilde Mariani	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Summer Yardley - Matilde Mariani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW
- Margaux Komano
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Margaux Komano - Yuliya Perapekhina	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Eliz Maloney - Margaux Komano	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Margaux Komano - Emily Sartz-Lunde	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Margaux Komano - Benedetta Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Karla Bartel - Margaux Komano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LWLWW

Matilde Mariani - Margaux Komano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide