Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Michiel De Krom		Stefan Palosi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.56
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.24)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michiel De Krom
39.1%

Stefan Palosi
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Stefan Palosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michiel De Krom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Palosi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefan Palosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michiel De Krom - Stefan Palosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Krom is ranked ATP: 688. Palosi is ranked ATP: 406.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

De Krom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Palosi might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Michiel De Krom - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.36%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Florent Bax - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Josip Simundza - Michiel De Krom	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Michiel De Krom - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Michiel De Krom - Robert Watzka	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Stefan Latinovic - Michiel De Krom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- Stefan Palosi
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Henri Squire - Stefan Palosi	Palosi S. retired ✺
16.03.26	Stefan Palosi - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Stefan Palosi - Matthias Ujvary	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Stefan Palosi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Stefan Palosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 ?LWLW

Michiel De Krom - Stefan Palosi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide