Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Glasgow, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	3.01 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
69%

Tom Gentzsch
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tom Gentzsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikhail Kukushkin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tom Gentzsch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kukushkin will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mikhail Kukushkin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 293. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 283.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Gentzsch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kukushkin is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.52%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
14.01.26	Remy Bertola - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Johannus Monday - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
14.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Johannus Monday - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Martin Krumich - Tom Gentzsch	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Mika Brunold - Tom Gentzsch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW

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