Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Ryan Nijboer

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.17	1.66	Watch
	2.12	1.75
	2.08	1.67
	2.05	1.75
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
44.7%

Ryan Nijboer
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Ryan Nijboer Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dellien Velasco will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nijboer will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijboer (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 335. Nijboer is ranked ATP: 508.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dellien Velasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.07.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Jack Loge	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Lars Goran Verwerft	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Jip Van Assendelft	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW
- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
09.08.26	Ryan Nijboer - Jannik Opitz	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Ryan Nijboer - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Niels Visker - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Mika Brunold - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
13.07.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW

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