Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Fukui, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Natsuki Yoshimoto		Sae Noguchi

	1	2
	1.47	2.5
	1.56	2.4
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.83)	2.46 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natsuki Yoshimoto
62.3%

Sae Noguchi
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natsuki Yoshimoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Natsuki Yoshimoto's performance.

Sae Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sae Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natsuki Yoshimoto than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Natsuki Yoshimoto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sae Noguchi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sae Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Natsuki Yoshimoto - Sae Noguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yoshimoto is ranked WTA: 568. Noguchi is ranked WTA: 785.

Yoshimoto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Noguchi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yoshimoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yoshimoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natsuki Yoshimoto
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Ayumi Miyamoto - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Kurea Hayasaka - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Nanari Katsumi - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Natsuki Yoshimoto - Nanari Katsumi	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Boyoung Jeong - Natsuki Yoshimoto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL
- Sae Noguchi
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Sae Noguchi - Nao Nishino	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Sae Noguchi - Shiho Tsujioka	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Sae Noguchi - Ho Ching Wu	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Hiromi Abe - Sae Noguchi	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Sae Noguchi - Rinko Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Natsuki Yoshimoto - Sae Noguchi	2:1

Natsuki Yoshimoto - Sae Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide