Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Ozan Baris		Igor Marcondes

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Ozan Baris
61.4%

Igor Marcondes
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ozan Baris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Igor Marcondes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ozan Baris than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Baris is ranked ATP: 416., and Marcondes is ranked ATP: 324..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Marcondes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Baris is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ozan Baris
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Ozan Baris - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ozan Baris - Shunsuke Mitsui	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Ozan Baris - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ozan Baris - Lorenzo Claverie	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.26	Jack Secord - Ozan Baris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWL
- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Igor Marcondes - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Igor Marcondes - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Igor Marcondes - Lautaro Midon	Marcondes I. Retired ✺
17.08.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Igor Marcondes - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LL?WL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
22.10.26	Erik Arutiunian - Igor Marcondes	✺

Ozan Baris - Igor Marcondes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide