Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Saba Purtseladze		Lukas Pokorny

	1	2
			Watch
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.17)	1.76 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saba Purtseladze
47.4%

Lukas Pokorny
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saba Purtseladze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Lukas Pokorny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Saba Purtseladze - Lukas Pokorny Predictions

Users Predictions: Saba Purtseladze will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saba Purtseladze will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

Purtseladze is ranked ATP: 292. Pokorny is ranked ATP: 522.

Now, both players are in good form.

Pokorny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pokorny is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Pokorny will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Purtseladze won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Pokorny - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.41%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saba Purtseladze
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Saba Purtseladze - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.01.26	Saba Purtseladze - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saba Purtseladze - Marko Miladinovic	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Saba Purtseladze - Faris Zakaryia	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Saba Purtseladze - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW
- Lukas Pokorny
ITF Tournaments
18.01.26	Lukas Pokorny - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Garrett Johns - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Maxim Shin - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Andrea Colombo - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Florian Broska - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.07.24	Saba Purtseladze - Lukas Pokorny	2:0
ITF Tournaments
17.03.23	Lukas Pokorny - Saba Purtseladze	Purtseladze S. retired
02.03.23	Saba Purtseladze - Lukas Pokorny	2:0

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