Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Granby, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Sakura Hosogi		Alexandra Vagramov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.30	3.10
	1.28	3.30	Watch
	1.32	3.46
	1.27	3.35	Watch
	1.30	3.40
	1.29	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.49)	3.31 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakura Hosogi
71.9%

Alexandra Vagramov
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakura Hosogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakura Hosogi's performance.

Alexandra Vagramov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandra Vagramov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakura Hosogi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandra Vagramov than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandra Vagramov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sakura Hosogi - Alexandra Vagramov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hosogi is ranked WTA: 308. Vagramov is ranked WTA: 574.

Hosogi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vagramov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vagramov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hosogi is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Sakura Hosogi	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Julieta Pareja	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Sara Daavettila	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Ana Grubor - Sakura Hosogi	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Thara Gowda - Sakura Hosogi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW
- Alexandra Vagramov
ITF Tournaments
14.07.26	Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Alexandra Vagramov	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Maria Aytoyan	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Tanvi Pandey	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Alexis Nguyen	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Thara Gowda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Sakura Hosogi - Alexandra Vagramov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide