Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sapporo 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday


	Shiho Tsujioka		Sae Noguchi

	1	2
	2.80	1.36
	2.50	1.46
	3.05	1.39
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	3.00	1.37
	2.73	1.40	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.56)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shiho Tsujioka
33.3%

Sae Noguchi
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shiho Tsujioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sae Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shiho Tsujioka than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shiho Tsujioka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sae Noguchi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sae Noguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shiho Tsujioka - Sae Noguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tsujioka is ranked WTA: 804. Noguchi is ranked WTA: 721.

Recent performances by Tsujioka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Noguchi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noguchi could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Noguchi will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tsujioka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shiho Tsujioka
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Shihomi Li Xuan Leong - Shiho Tsujioka	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Kurumi Tamura - Shiho Tsujioka	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Yuhan Liu - Shiho Tsujioka	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Mao Mushika - Shiho Tsujioka	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Sae Noguchi - Shiho Tsujioka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL
- Sae Noguchi
ITF Tournaments
23.06.26	Sera Nishimoto - Sae Noguchi	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Ayumi Miyamoto - Sae Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Sae Noguchi	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Shihomi Li Xuan Leong - Sae Noguchi	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Eunchae Kim - Sae Noguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.05.26	Sae Noguchi - Shiho Tsujioka	2:1

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