Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Vigo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Sofia Costoulas		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.40
	1.27	3.40
	1.32	3.42
	1.27	3.35	Watch
	1.24	4.00
	1.28	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	3.49 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Costoulas
73.2%

Matilde Jorge
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Costoulas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Costoulas than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofia Costoulas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matilde Jorge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sofia Costoulas - Matilde Jorge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Costoulas is ranked WTA: 160. Jorge is ranked WTA: 277.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Costoulas is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Costoulas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Sofia Costoulas - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 68.25%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Costoulas
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Sofia Costoulas - Sofia Camila Rojas	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Sofia Costoulas - Eva Alvarez Sande	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Gabriela Knutson - Sofia Costoulas	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Sofia Costoulas - Maddison Inglis	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Lizette Cabrera - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Isis Louise Van den Broek - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Maria Berlanga Bandera - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Mina Hodzic - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Carmen Gallardo Guevara - Matilde Jorge	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Matilde Jorge - Chloe Noel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Matilde Jorge - Sofia Costoulas	1:2

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