Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Vigo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva		Daria Khomutsianskaya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.87
	1.75	1.96
	1.89	1.93
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.90
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.23)	1.89 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
50.8%

Daria Khomutsianskaya
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva's performance.

Daria Khomutsianskaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daria Khomutsianskaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonja Zhiyenbayeva than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonja Zhiyenbayeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daria Khomutsianskaya than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daria Khomutsianskaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Daria Khomutsianskaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhiyenbayeva is ranked WTA: 738. Khomutsianskaya is ranked WTA: 310.

Zhiyenbayeva has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Khomutsianskaya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Khomutsianskaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Khomutsianskaya will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Khomutsianskaya will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Ekaterina Yashina	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Julie Struplova - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Isabella Shinikova - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Alicia Dudeney	Dudeney A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWW?
- Daria Khomutsianskaya
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Daria Khomutsianskaya	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Yuliya Hatouka - Daria Khomutsianskaya	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Rina Saigo - Daria Khomutsianskaya	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Daria Khomutsianskaya - Oceane Dodin	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Elyse Tse - Daria Khomutsianskaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Daria Khomutsianskaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide