Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Makarska, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Tena Lukas		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.5	1.34
	3.12	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.26	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.68)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tena Lukas
29%

Darja Semenistaja
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tena Lukas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tena Lukas's form might have worsened.

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darja Semenistaja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Tena Lukas - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lukas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Semenistaja will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lukas is ranked WTA: 448. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 110.

Lukas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Semenistaja's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Semenistaja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Semenistaja is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lukas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tena Lukas - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.95%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Darja Semenistaja - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tena Lukas
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Tena Lukas - Gabriela Ce	Lukas T. Retired ✺
27.05.26	Tena Lukas - Weronika Ewald	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Iva Primorac - Tena Lukas	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Tena Lukas - Georgia Pedone	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Dora Miskovic - Tena Lukas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?WLWW
- Darja Semenistaja
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.26	Darja Semenistaja - Katarina Zavatska	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Darja Semenistaja - Iryna Shymanovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
04.05.26	Darja Semenistaja - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Noma Akugue Noha - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Elizara Yaneva - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Tena Lukas - Darja Semenistaja	0:2
06.05.23	Darja Semenistaja - Tena Lukas	2:0

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