Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Mbombela 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Thando Longwe-Smit		Fons Van Sambeek

	1	2
	2.78	1.45
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.08)	1.43 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thando Longwe-Smit
35.1%

Fons Van Sambeek
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thando Longwe-Smit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thando Longwe-Smit's form might have worsened.

Fons Van Sambeek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fons Van Sambeek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thando Longwe-Smit than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thando Longwe-Smit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fons Van Sambeek than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fons Van Sambeek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Thando Longwe Smit - Fons Van Sambeek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Longwe-Smit is ranked ATP: 1165. Van Sambeek is ranked ATP: 1164.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Longwe-Smit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Sambeek could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thando Longwe-Smit
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Franco Ribero - Thando Longwe-Smit	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Thando Longwe-Smit - Jake Dembo	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tom Zeuch - Thando Longwe-Smit	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Cooper McCarthy - Thando Longwe-Smit	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Yannik Kelm - Thando Longwe-Smit	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL
- Fons Van Sambeek
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Fons Van Sambeek - Stefan Seifert	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Fons Van Sambeek - Jesse Flores	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Tom Zeuch - Fons Van Sambeek	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Fons Van Sambeek - Lev Seidman	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Amit Vales - Fons Van Sambeek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL

Thando Longwe-Smit - Fons Van Sambeek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide