Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Tiago Pereira		Rudolf Molleker

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.28	1.55
	2.46	1.62
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	2.70	1.47
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.40	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.05)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
39.1%

Rudolf Molleker
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Rudolf Molleker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rudolf Molleker's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudolf Molleker than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Tiago Pereira - Rudolf Molleker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 355. Molleker is ranked ATP: 458.

Pereira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Molleker has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Molleker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.79%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Rudolf Molleker - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.21%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Pavel Lagutin	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW
- Rudolf Molleker
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg - Rudolf Molleker	Canceled ✺
06.09.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Rudolf Molleker - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Matias Soto - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?LLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Tiago Pereira - Rudolf Molleker	2:1
16.06.25	Rudolf Molleker - Tiago Pereira	2:1
ITF Tournaments
01.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Rudolf Molleker	1:2

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