Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maringa 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Tomas Martinez		Wilson Leite

	1	2
	1.9	1.92
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martinez
50.1%

Wilson Leite
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Wilson Leite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martinez than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilson Leite than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wilson Leite could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tomas Martinez - Wilson Leite Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez is ranked ATP: 927. Leite is ranked ATP: 823.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leite may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Wilson Leite - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martinez
ITF Tournaments
19.05.26	Tomas Martinez - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Mateus Alves - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Enzo Camargo Lima - Tomas Martinez	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto - Tomas Martinez	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Wilson Leite
ITF Tournaments
19.05.26	Nicolas Garcia Longo - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	Herman Hoeyeraal - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Ezequiel Monferrer - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Marvin Bernardo Becker Spiering - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

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