Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 13, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Tristan McCormick		Garrett Johns

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.34
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.95	1.38
	2.95	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.63)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
31%

Garrett Johns
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Garrett Johns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan McCormick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Garrett Johns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tristan McCormick - Garrett Johns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 697., and Johns is ranked ATP: 437..

McCormick is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Johns has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Johns may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Johns holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, McCormick has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
14.09.26	Tristan McCormick - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Tristan McCormick - Xavi Palomar	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Tristan McCormick - Carlos Giraldi	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Tristan McCormick - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Yaroslav Demin - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Garrett Johns
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.08.26	Max Purcell - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Aidan Kim - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.02.25	Garrett Johns - Tristan McCormick	2:1
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
16.12.20	Tristan McCormick - Garrett Johns	0:2

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