Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 7, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday


	Yuta Tomida		Kristjan Tamm

	1	2
	2.40	1.48
	2.18	1.58
	2.47	1.56
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.44	1.53
	2.27	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.83)	1.54 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Tomida
39.5%

Kristjan Tamm
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Tomida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuta Tomida's form might have worsened.

Kristjan Tamm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristjan Tamm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Tomida than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuta Tomida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristjan Tamm than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kristjan Tamm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yuta Tomida - Kristjan Tamm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomida is ranked ATP: 1000. Tamm is ranked ATP: 1162.

In recent matches, Tomida has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tamm is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tamm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Tamm will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Kristjan Tamm - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.66%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Tomida
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Yuta Tomida - Xing Dao Chen	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Yuta Tomida - Weiwen Pan	Pan W. Retired ✺
29.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Isaac Becroft	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Yusuke Takahashi	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Yuta Tomida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 W?LLL
- Kristjan Tamm
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Zaharije-Zak Talic - Kristjan Tamm	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Kristjan Tamm - Max Purcell	Canceled ✺
27.08.26	Kristjan Tamm - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Arthur Weber - Kristjan Tamm	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Kristjan Tamm - Ren Nakamura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 W?LWW

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