Match Info

Euroleague - Round 2

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
World	EuroLeague TV


	Anadolu Efes Pilsen		Real Madrid

	1	2
	1.96	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.78
	1.98	1.82
	2.00	1.86
	2.05	1.84	Watch
	1.92	1.88
	1.93	1.93	Watch
	1.93	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anadolu Efes Pilsen
48.2%

Real Madrid
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anadolu Efes Pilsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anadolu Efes Pilsen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	0%	74.1%

Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Anadolu Efes will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Anadolu Efes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Dozier P.J.	7. Campazzo F.
20. Fernando B.	14. Deck G.
55. James M.	4. Pradilla J.
5. Saric D.	1. Smith N.
32. Strazel M.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
88. Jones K.	6. Abalde A.
3. Loyd J.	24. Feliz A.
17. Malcolm C.	20. Jantunen M.
24. Osmani E.	30. Jones D.
11. Russell D.	3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
33. Yilmaz E.	12. Maledon T.
4. Yusta S.	8. Okeke C.
Coaches
. Laso P.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anadolu Efes won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Anadolu Efes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Anadolu Efes has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1650:1612 (averaging 82.5:80.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Anadolu Efes against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 827:783 goals (averaging 82.7:78.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L
14	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350
15	Anadolu Efes	4	1	3	314:339

Last Results with these Odds

Anadolu Efes Pilsen - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 47.45%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anadolu Efes Pilsen
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
27.09.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Beşiktaş	95:81 ✺
Euroleague
24.09.26	Barcelona - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	89:82 ✺
VTB Super Cup
20.09.26	Lokomotiv-Kuban - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	82:88 ✺
19.09.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - UNICS	91:79 ✺
18.09.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	76:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
27.09.26	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	89:87 ✺
Euroleague
24.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	78:77 ✺
EuroLeague Super Cup
19.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	89:93 ✺
18.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	95:98 AET ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.26	Real Madrid - Canarias	97:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
26.03.26	Real Madrid - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	82:71
04.12.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid	75:81
04.02.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid	79:73
14.11.24	Real Madrid - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	64:74
05.01.24	Real Madrid - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	130:126 OT
12.10.23	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid	80:103
14.03.23	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid	90:89

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