Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Real Madrid		ASVEL Basket

	1	2
	1.10	7.00
	1.14	6.3	Watch
	1.10	7.90	Watch
	1.09	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.13)	7.05 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
86.4%

ASVEL Basket
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:81

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

ASVEL could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, ASVEL has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, Real Madrid enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1150:1032 (averaging 82.1:73.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 592:514 goals (averaging 84.6:73.4 per game).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19% Lyon-Villeurbanne: 0.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
11	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	353:377
16	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.13 are the expected chance of winning is 83.69%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
08.10.26	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	86:76 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.10.26	Obradoiro CAB - Real Madrid	107:114 AET ✺
Euroleague
01.10.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	102:98 ✺
29.09.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid	94:84 ✺
Spanish ACB League
27.09.26	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	89:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW
- ASVEL Basket
Euroleague
07.10.26	Paris - ASVEL Basket	96:98 ✺
French LNB
04.10.26	Gravelines - ASVEL Basket	65:70 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	ASVEL Basket - Valencia	92:105 ✺
30.09.26	Panathinaikos - ASVEL Basket	102:79 ✺
French LNB
27.09.26	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	85:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
06.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	69:80
09.10.25	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	85:72
20.03.25	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	81:70
03.12.24	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	80:78
01.02.24	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	86:79
28.12.23	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	76:77
03.03.23	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	71:75

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