Match Info

Euroleague - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Coca-Cola Arena (Dubai)

Referee: Peerandi R. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Dubai		Real Madrid

	1	2
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	1.7	2.18
	1.65	2.32
	1.63	2.4	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.65	2.32	Watch
	1.67	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.76)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubai
57.3%

Real Madrid
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Dubai - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dubai will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dubai (votes: 1 - 50%). Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 186.5, OT - over (3.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 173.5, OT - under (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5, OT - Real Madrid (3.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Games O/U 175.5 - over (1.88) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dubai (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Bacon D.	6. Abalde A.
17. Kabengele M.	7. Campazzo F.
0. Okobo E.	3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
30. Petrusev F.	4. Pradilla J.
25. Wright M.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
8. Bertans Dav.	14. Deck G.
4. Blossomgame J.	24. Feliz A.
21. Diakite M.	20. Jantunen M.
11. Kondic K.	30. Jones D.
6. Mintz D.	12. Maledon T.
23. Shengelia T.	9. Procida G.
44. Walkup T.	33. Sarr O.
Coaches
. Pascual X.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

In recent outings, Dubai has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Real Madrid in today's match, at odds of 2.2.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Dubai has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 281:290 (averaging 93.7:96.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dubai against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 188:183 goals (averaging 94:91.5 per game).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19% Dubai: 5.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
10	Dubai	4	2	2	296:317
16	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.32%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Dubai
EuroLeague Super Cup
19.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Dubai	85:77 ✺
18.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	95:98 AET ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.26	Dubai - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	79:75 ✺
09.09.26	Dubai - Bahcesehir Koleji	78:83 ✺
06.09.26	Beşiktaş - Dubai	71:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- Real Madrid basketball
EuroLeague Super Cup
19.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	89:93 ✺
18.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	95:98 AET ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.26	Real Madrid - Canarias	97:90 ✺
05.09.26	Real Madrid - Baskonia	121:80 ✺
Spanish ACB League
06.06.26	Real Madrid - Canarias	95:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

EuroLeague Super Cup
18.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	95:98 AET
Euroleague
05.02.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	93:85
02.01.26	Real Madrid - Dubai	107:93

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