Match Info

ACB - Round 1

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	DAZN 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Turkey	Spor Smart 1


	Real Madrid		Unicaja Malaga

	1	2
	1.12	5.25	Watch
	1.14	5.20
	1.20	4.40
	1.17	5.40
	1.19	4.43	Watch
	1.15	5.30
	1.21	4.60	Watch
	1.16	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.28)	4.95 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
80.9%

Unicaja Malaga
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Unicaja Malaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unicaja Malaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Unicaja will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 50%). Unicaja (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:82

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Abalde A.	8. Brazdeikis I.
7. Campazzo F.	24. Hunt C.
3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	45. Kravish D.
4. Pradilla J.	17. Noua A.
22. Tavares E.	55. Perry K.
Substitutes
14. Deck G.	7. Barreiro J.
30. Jones D.	9. Diaz A.
23. Llull S.	14. Djedovic N.
12. Maledon T.	41. Hernangomez W.
8. Okeke C.	13. Lukosius S.
33. Sarr O.	19. Pantzar M. J.
2. Shulga M.
Coaches
. Martinez Sanchez P.	. Vidorreta T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 4.

Real Madrid has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Real Madrid may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Real Madrid carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1786:1710 (averaging 89.3:85.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 827:757 goals (averaging 91.9:84.1 per game).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Real Madrid: 51.15% Unicaja: 3.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	203:194	4
17	Unicaja	2	0	2	162:169	0

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 72.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
24.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	78:77 ✺
EuroLeague Super Cup
19.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	89:93 ✺
18.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	95:98 AET ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.26	Real Madrid - Canarias	97:90 ✺
05.09.26	Real Madrid - Baskonia	121:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW
- Unicaja Málaga
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.26	Obradoiro CAB - Unicaja Malaga	84:86 ✺
10.09.26	Unicaja Malaga - Canarias	80:76 ✺
Spanish ACB League
29.05.26	Baskonia - Unicaja Malaga	92:89 ✺
26.05.26	Joventut Badalona - Unicaja Malaga	95:74 ✺
23.05.26	Unicaja Malaga - CB Breogán	101:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Basketball Cup
19.02.26	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	100:70
Spanish ACB League
15.02.26	Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid	92:96
28.12.25	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	91:82
17.06.25	Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid	79:86
15.06.25	Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid	86:84
13.06.25	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	90:75
11.06.25	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	99:81

Upcoming Matches