The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Green Bay Packers 46.9%
Chicago Bears 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Green Bay Packers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Green Bay Packers's form might have worsened.
Chicago Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Bears's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Green Bay Packers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Green Bay Packers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Bears, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
Green Bay Packers - Chicago Bears Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Green Bay will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -2.5, OT - Chicago (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:24
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 0)
09:09, Watson C. (Touchdown),
09:09, Smack T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
00:04, Lloyd M. (Touchdown),
00:04, Smack T. (Extra Point),
13:07, Swift D. (Touchdown),
13:07, Santos C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (9 - 0)
01:50, Watson C. (Touchdown),
01:50, Smack T. (Missed Extra Point),
06:20, Santos C. (Missed Field Goal),
13:02, Smack T. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (8 - 0)
00:05, Lloyd M. (Touchdown),
00:05, Golden M. (Two-Point Conversion),
05:10, Smack T. (Missed Field Goal),
09:35, Smack T. (Missed Field Goal),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Green Bay won 2.
In recent outings, Green Bay has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chicago is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Green Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Chicago in today's match, at odds of 1.8.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Green Bay has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 528:380 (averaging 26.4:19 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Green Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 260:169 goals (averaging 28.9:18.8 per game).
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