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Current Win Probability
Atlanta Falcons 56.5%
Chicago Bears 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.8%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta Falcons's form might have worsened.
Chicago Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Bears's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Bears, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Atlanta Falcons - Chicago Bears Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Chicago will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 47.8% – 85.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15).
Atlanta has currently - 4-6, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a small chance of win division (9%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).
Chicago has currently - 3-7, has a very small chance of playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of win division (<0.1%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).
This event has small quality12, small importance16, small match rating14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Atlanta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chicago is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Chicago could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Atlanta will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 62-74.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 39-57.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Czech-republic
Finland
Germany
Serbia
Slovenia
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