Match Info

NFL - Round 3

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA
World	NFL Game Pass


	Indianapolis Colts		Houston Texans

	1	2
	2.05	1.8	Watch
	2.03	1.78	Watch
	2.12	1.83
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.08	1.81
	2.05	1.8
	2.04	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.14)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indianapolis Colts
46.6%

Houston Texans
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans Predictions

Users Predictions: Indianapolis Colts will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
10:32, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (10 - 7)
03:52, Allen K. (Touchdown),
03:52, Shrader S. (Extra Point),
10:30, Moreau F. (Touchdown),
10:30, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
13:57, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (6 - 10)
02:17, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
07:27, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
13:12, Marks W. (Touchdown),
13:12, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
14:44, Shrader S. (Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indianapolis won 0.

In recent outings, both teams have suffered multiple defeats and urgently need a reaction.

Recently, Houston has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Indianapolis has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 494:405 (averaging 24.7:20.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Indianapolis against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 254:222 goals (averaging 25.4:22.2 per game).

Outrights of NFL for now

Houston Texans: 1.98% Indianapolis Colts: 0.89%

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Texans - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.87%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
20.09.26	Kansas City Chiefs - Indianapolis Colts	33:30 OT ✺
13.09.26	Indianapolis Colts - Baltimore Ravens	23:41 ✺
29.08.26	Indianapolis Colts - Detroit Lions	16:25 ✺
22.08.26	Indianapolis Colts - Atlanta Falcons	6:10 OT ✺
13.08.26	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	13:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT
- Houston Texans
NFL
20.09.26	Houston Texans - Cincinnati Bengals	6:20 ✺
13.09.26	Houston Texans - Buffalo Bills	31:36 ✺
28.08.26	Carolina Panthers - Houston Texans	16:13 ✺
20.08.26	Houston Texans - Las Vegas Raiders	20:22 ✺
13.08.26	Houston Texans - Los Angeles Chargers	7:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
04.01.26	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	38:30
30.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	16:20
27.10.24	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	23:20
08.09.24	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	27:29
06.01.24	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	19:23
17.09.23	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	20:31
08.01.23	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	31:32

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