Match Info

NFL - Pre-season

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	NFL Game Pass


	New England Patriots		Indianapolis Colts

	1	2
	2.45	1.51
	2.4	1.54
	2.47	1.58
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.61
	2.28	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.78)	1.56 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New England Patriots
39.5%

Indianapolis Colts
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New England Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Patriots's form might have worsened.

Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Indianapolis Colts's recent form is better than expected.

New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
03:43, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
10:57, Wiliams T. (Touchdown),
10:57, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
13:56, Richardson A. (Touchdown),
13:56, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 0)
03:18, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 6)
07:39, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
13:44, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
14:47, Borregales A. (Missed Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.

Indianapolis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New England won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 334:189. (average 33.4:18.9).

Including home matches between the teams, New England won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 241:115. (average 34.4:16.4).

Outrights of NFL for now

New England Patriots: 3.52% Indianapolis Colts: 0.89%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New England Patriots
NFL
08.02.26	New England Patriots - Seattle Seahawks	13:29 ✺
25.01.26	Denver Broncos - New England Patriots	7:10 ✺
18.01.26	New England Patriots - Houston Texans	28:16 ✺
11.01.26	New England Patriots - Los Angeles Chargers	16:3 ✺
04.01.26	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	38:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW
- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
04.01.26	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	38:30 ✺
28.12.25	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	17:23 ✺
22.12.25	Indianapolis Colts - San Francisco 49ers	27:48 ✺
14.12.25	Seattle Seahawks - Indianapolis Colts	18:16 ✺
07.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	36:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
01.12.24	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	24:25
12.11.23	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	6:10
06.11.22	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	26:3
18.12.21	Indianapolis Colts - New England Patriots	27:17
04.10.18	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	38:24
18.10.15	Indianapolis Colts - New England Patriots	27:34
18.01.15	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	45:7

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