Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Arctic Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Energia Areena (Vantaa)


	Arnaud Merkle		Joakim Oldorff

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.8
	1.13	4.74	Watch
	1.39	2.81
	1.38	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.54)	3.16 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnaud Merkle
70.2%

Joakim Oldorff
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnaud Merkle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arnaud Merkle's performance.

Joakim Oldorff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joakim Oldorff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnaud Merkle than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arnaud Merkle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joakim Oldorff than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joakim Oldorff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arnaud Merkle - Joakim Oldorff Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Oldorff will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldorff: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joakim Oldorff will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

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Preview

Merkle is ranked BWF: 53. Oldorff is ranked BWF: 54.

Merkle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oldorff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Merkle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Merkle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnaud Merkle
Badminton
17.09.25	Bismo Raya Oktora - Arnaud Merkle	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Arnaud Merkle - Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Arnaud Merkle - Ping-Hsien Huang	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Xin Yu Zhou - Arnaud Merkle	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Arnaud Merkle - Riku Hatano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW
- Joakim Oldorff
Badminton
05.10.25	Joakim Oldorff - Sholeh Aidil	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Joakim Oldorff - Hai Dang Nguyen	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Joakim Oldorff - Shaurya Gullaiya	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Joakim Oldorff - Tien Ann Par	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Joakim Oldorff - H. S. Prannoy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Arnaud Merkle - Joakim Oldorff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide