Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
| team | position | project points | now | relegated | prom. playoffs | promoted | win league |
| Lecce | 1 (100%) | 71 | 71 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| Cremonese | 2 (100%) | 69 | 69 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| Monza | 4 (100%) | 67 | 67 | 0% | 100% | 55% | 0% |
| Pisa | 3 (100%) | 67 | 67 | 0% | 100% | 45% | 0% |
| Brescia | 5 (100%) | 66 | 66 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Ascoli | 6 (100%) | 65 | 65 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Benevento | 7 (100%) | 63 | 63 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Frosinone | 9 (100%) | 58 | 58 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Perugia | 8 (100%) | 58 | 58 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Ternana | 10 (100%) | 54 | 54 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Cittadella | 11 (100%) | 52 | 52 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Parma | 12 (100%) | 49 | 49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Reggina 1914 | 13 (100%) | 48 | 48 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Como | 14 (100%) | 47 | 47 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| SPAL | 15 (100%) | 42 | 42 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nuova Cosenza | 16 (100%) | 35 | 35 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Vicenza | 17 (100%) | 34 | 34 | >99% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Alessandria | 18 (100%) | 34 | 34 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Crotone | 19 (100%) | 26 | 26 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Pordenone | 20 (100%) | 18 | 18 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
