Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Denmark Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Jyske Bank Arena (Odense)


	Koki Watanabe		Alex Lanier

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.39
	1.98	1.70	Watch
	2.73	1.41
	2.76	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Watanabe
36.8%

Alex Lanier
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Watanabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Alex Lanier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koki Watanabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Lanier than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Lanier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watanabe is ranked BWF: 18. Lanier is ranked BWF: 7.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Lanier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lanier could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Watanabe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Watanabe
Badminton
10.10.25	Kunlavut Vitidsarn - Koki Watanabe	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Tharun Mannepalli - Koki Watanabe	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Kiran George - Koki Watanabe	George K. retired ✺
25.09.25	Koki Watanabe - Hong Yang Weng	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Jia Heng Jason Teh - Koki Watanabe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LW?LW
- Alex Lanier
Badminton
19.09.25	Alex Lanier - Anders Antonsen	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Viktor Axelsen - Alex Lanier	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Chia Hao Lee - Alex Lanier	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Alex Lanier - Hong Yang Weng	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Alex Lanier - Aria Dinata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
19.07.25	Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier	0:2
19.10.24	Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe	0:2
07.07.24	Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe	1:2
20.03.24	Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe	2:1

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