Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Japan Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tokyo Metropolitan Gymnasium (Tokyo)


	Lakshya Sen		Koki Watanabe

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.78	1.88
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.78	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 80.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lakshya Sen
50.8%

Koki Watanabe
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lakshya Sen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Koki Watanabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lakshya Sen than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Preview

Sen is ranked BWF: 14. Watanabe is ranked BWF: 17.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Lakshya Sen - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lakshya Sen
Badminton
24.06.26	Julien Carraggi - Lakshya Sen	Canceled ✺
02.06.26	Alwi Farhan - Lakshya Sen	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Koki Watanabe - Lakshya Sen	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Lakshya Sen - Kunlavut Vitidsarn	Vitidsarn K. Retired ✺
27.05.26	Guangzu Lu - Lakshya Sen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LL?W
- Koki Watanabe
Badminton
04.06.26	Koki Watanabe - Victor Lai	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Brian Yang - Koki Watanabe	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Kean Yew Loh - Koki Watanabe	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Koki Watanabe - Lakshya Sen	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Koki Watanabe - Cheuk Yiu Lee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
29.05.26	Koki Watanabe - Lakshya Sen	2:1
12.11.25	Koki Watanabe - Lakshya Sen	0:2
11.03.25	Koki Watanabe - Lakshya Sen	N/A
16.02.24	Lakshya Sen - Koki Watanabe	2:0
28.07.23	Koki Watanabe - Lakshya Sen	0:2

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