Match Info

LMP

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kuroda Park (Guasave)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Algodoneros de Guasave		Charros de Jalisco

	1	2
	2.15	1.62
			Watch
	2.19	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.19)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algodoneros de Guasave
43%

Charros de Jalisco
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algodoneros de Guasave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Charros de Jalisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algodoneros de Guasave than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Lineups

Batters
99. Avans D.	35. Ornelas T.
6. Jordan L.	26. Wielansky M.
88. Quiroz E.	59. Serna J.
46. Ervin P.	31. Ornelas J.
61. Pina O.	17. Rodriguez R.
1. Alvarez R.	40. Madris B.
3. Heras L.	49. Amador J.
5. Flores J.	42. Rodriguez A.
43. Espinoza A.	5. Gastelum C.
Pitchers
17. Vargas V.	13. Banuelos M.
Coaches
. Moreno J.	. Gil B.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algodoneros won 1.

Algodoneros has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jalisco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Algodoneros won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 96:97. (average 4.8:4.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Algodoneros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:39. (average 3.7:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Algodoneros de Guasave - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Charros de Jalisco - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.88%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algodoneros de Guasave
LMP
22.11.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Charros de Jalisco	1:5 ✺
21.11.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Charros de Jalisco	4:7 ✺
20.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Algodoneros de Guasave	1:5 ✺
19.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Algodoneros de Guasave	7:3 ✺
18.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Algodoneros de Guasave	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Charros de Jalisco
LMP
22.11.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Charros de Jalisco	1:5 ✺
21.11.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Charros de Jalisco	4:7 ✺
20.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Jaguares de Nayarit	3:5 ✺
19.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Jaguares de Nayarit	3:10 ✺
18.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Jaguares de Nayarit	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

LMP
22.11.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Charros de Jalisco	1:5
21.11.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Charros de Jalisco	4:7
19.10.25	Charros de Jalisco - Algodoneros de Guasave	5:8
18.10.25	Charros de Jalisco - Algodoneros de Guasave	7:5
17.10.25	Charros de Jalisco - Algodoneros de Guasave	7:6
05.12.24	Algodoneros de Guasave - Charros de Jalisco	3:7
04.12.24	Algodoneros de Guasave - Charros de Jalisco	2:7

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