Match Info

LVBP

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Nueva Esparta (Porlamar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Venezuela	Beisbol Play


	Bravos de Margarita		Tigres de Aragua

	1	2
	1.77	1.95
	1.73	2
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.75)	1.97 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bravos de Margarita
52.9%

Tigres de Aragua
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bravos de Margarita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tigres de Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bravos de Margarita than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres de Aragua than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Lineups

Batters
15. Valera B.	43. Cedrola L.
4. Santana J.	8. Hernandez G.
2. Amarista A.	7. Rodriguez D.
10. Garcia W.	38. Hernandez Y.
36. Perez C.	21. Pina L.
31. Flores R.	95. Cabrera L.
56. Gomez M.	6. Peraza J.
22. Martinez J.	22. Rodriguez K.
18. Espinoza L.	19. Sibrian J.
Pitchers
44. Saldana A.	65. Pinto J.
Coaches
. Blanco H.	. Bailey B.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bravos de Margarita won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tigres de Aragua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bravos de Margarita has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bravos de Margarita won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 100:89. (average 5:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bravos de Margarita won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:32. (average 4.4:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres de Aragua - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.91%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bravos de Margarita
Venezuelan LVBP
11.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tigres de Aragua	5:8 ✺
07.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Leones del Caracas	2:5 ✺
06.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Leones del Caracas	6:5 ✺
05.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Cardenales de Lara	6:5 ✺
04.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Cardenales de Lara	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW
- Tigres de Aragua
Venezuelan LVBP
11.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tigres de Aragua	5:8 ✺
10.12.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Tigres de Aragua	11:4 ✺
07.12.25	Tigres de Aragua - Tiburones de La Guaira	7:5 ✺
06.12.25	Tigres de Aragua - Águilas del Zulia	2:5 ✺
05.12.25	Tigres de Aragua - Águilas del Zulia	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan LVBP
11.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tigres de Aragua	5:8
27.11.25	Tigres de Aragua - Bravos de Margarita	7:10
24.10.25	Tigres de Aragua - Bravos de Margarita	6:3
19.10.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tigres de Aragua	3:1
18.10.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tigres de Aragua	1:2
16.01.25	Tigres de Aragua - Bravos de Margarita	4:13
15.01.25	Tigres de Aragua - Bravos de Margarita	2:5

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