The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caliente de Durango 55.7%
Aguascalientes Railroaders 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
46.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caliente de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Aguascalientes Railroaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caliente de Durango than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguascalientes Railroaders than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Caliente de Durango - Aguascalientes Railroaders Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5
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Lineups
Batters
16. Marquez V.
14. McDermott M.
27. Rivas W.
4. Erro A.
10. Florial E.
20. Orozco J.
72. Urena J.
13. Rondon J.
7. Johnson D.
6. Batten M.
50. Hernandez E.
77. Gomez A.
61. Escarrega C.
32. Serrano M.
14. Hinojosa C.
5. Antonini A.
9. Chavez J.
47. Perez S.
Pitchers
12. Turnbull S.
19. Almeida A.
Coaches
. Robles O.
. Reyes E.
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 5.
Caliente de Durango is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aguascalientes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 183:154. (average 9.2:7.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Caliente de Durango won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:58. (average 8:6.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Caliente de Durango - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.87%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.
Mexico
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Marquez V. 
McDermott M. 
Rivas W. 
Rondon J. 
Almeida A. 
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