Match Info

Caribbean Series

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Panamericano de Beisbol (Zapopan)


	Charros de Jalisco		Tomateros de Culiacán

	1	2
			Watch
	1.63	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charros de Jalisco
56.6%

Tomateros de Culiacán
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charros de Jalisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tomateros de Culiacán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomateros de Culiacán than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 5.

Jalisco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tomateros has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jalisco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jalisco might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 120:102. (average 6:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jalisco won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 71:47. (average 7.1:4.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Tomateros de Culiacán - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.84%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charros de Jalisco
Baseball Caribbean Series
02.02.26	Federales De Chiriquí - Charros de Jalisco	4:11 ✺
01.02.26	Charros de Jalisco - Leones del Escogido	4:5 ✺
LMP
25.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	8:6 ✺
24.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	8:0 ✺
22.01.26	Tomateros de Culiacán - Charros de Jalisco	6:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Tomateros de Culiacán
Baseball Caribbean Series
03.02.26	Tomateros de Culiacán - Federales De Chiriquí	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Cangrejeros de Santurce - Tomateros de Culiacán	5:4 ✺
LMP
25.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	8:6 ✺
24.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	8:0 ✺
22.01.26	Tomateros de Culiacán - Charros de Jalisco	6:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

LMP
25.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	8:6
24.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	8:0
22.01.26	Tomateros de Culiacán - Charros de Jalisco	6:10
21.01.26	Tomateros de Culiacán - Charros de Jalisco	2:6
18.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	3:2
17.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	13:9
16.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	9:8

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